American focus: the euro fell significantly against the US dollar

By | March 10, 2015

The dollar continued to rise against the euro, updating the 12-year high. Experts point out that the growing expectations that the Federal Reserve in June may raise rates to support the dollar and concern the situation of the Greek debt, as well as holding the European Central Bank QE program put pressure on the European currency. “The downward trend in the euro continues, and it seems it will be very difficult to stop, – said Ian Stannard of Morgan Stanley. – A program of quantitative easing, the European Central Bank, and it reduces yield. Euro follows the same path, and it seems that long-term goals many people will be reached much earlier than they expected. ” Investors also fear the worsening of relations between Greece and its creditors from the eurozone, as Athens trying to use a four-month extension of aid programs in order to sign a new long-term agreement. “Greece
– unpredictable factor – said Stannard. – The market believes that the extension of assistance will break, but the process of negotiations, apparently, is not smooth
“.

Little impact on the dollar also helped today’s data. The US Commerce Department said that inventories in warehouses wholesale unexpectedly rose in January, while sales recorded their biggest decline since 2009, pushing the number of months it would take to clear warehouses, to the highest level in more than 5 5 years. According to the report, wholesale inventories rose by 0.3 percent. Economists forecast that wholesale inventories remain unchanged in January. Wholesale sales fell by 3.1 percent in January, noting the largest drop since March 2009, after falling 0.9 percent in December.

Meanwhile, the data provided by the Ministry of Labour, showed that the number of
vacancies in the labor market in the US in January 2015 increased by 121 thousand. – Up to 4 million 998 thousand. Jobs, according to data. The number of vacancies was the highest since January 2001. Jobs growth to almost 5 million has been made possible in the context of strengthening the country’s economy and, as a consequence, a growing demand for labor. However, the figure was weaker than economist’s expectations – expected to increase to 5.03 million. “In the labor market there is a great speaker. All there are still elements of weakness, but we pretty quickly eliminate, ” – said a senior economist at Ameriprise Financial Inc Russell Price. Today in the US every 10 newly opened jobs account for less than 18 unemployed, which roughly corresponds to indicators at the start of the last recession. In January, 2.8 million Americans quit compared to 2.72 million in December.

EUR/USD
EUR/USD

Pound wins back previously lost ground against the dollar, while returning to the opening level. However, the rising expectations of an early rise in US interest rates continue to provide significant support to the US currency. Little influenced by the statements of the Bank of England Carney. He noted that the Bank of England in the future may require a lower inflation target, if technological progress will have a strong influence on prices. Carney stressed that his comments are purely hypothetical and that he does not act in defense of the revision of the current objectives of the Bank of England to keep annual inflation at 2%. Carney expects that future increase its key interest rate of the Bank of England will be gradual and restrained. Investors expect that the central bank will raise borrowing costs at the beginning of next year.

GBP/USD
GBP/USD

The Swiss franc weakened against the US dollar, reaching parity with the level. Analysts
noted that the prospects for an early rate hike the Fed to support the dollar, talk about what the SNB may re-enter the target rate of EUR /CHF put pressure on the franc. Had little impact as Swiss data. The State Secretariat for Economic Affairs reported: excluding the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in February remained at around 3.5 percent. After adjusting for seasonal factors, the unemployment rate was 3.2 percent. The number of registered unemployed totaled 149,921 people compared to 150,946 people in January. Meanwhile, the number of vacancies rose in February to 10 289 people with 9672 people in the previous month.

USD/CHF
USD/CHF
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